| Multimedia Games, Inc.
HOST: Mr. Gordon Graves
DATE: January 31, 2002
OPERATOR: Good afternoon and welcome, ladies and gentlemen,
to the Multimedia Games Investor Relations Earnings call. At this
time, I would like to inform you that this conference is being
recorded for a broadcast, and that all participants are in a listen-only
mode. At the request of the company, we'll open the conference
up for questions and answers after the presentation. I will now
turn the conference over to Julia Spencer. Please go ahead, ma'am.
MS. SPENCER: Good afternoon and welcome to the
Multimedia Games Investor conference call for our first quarter
2002 earnings. I'd like to mention that we have some MGAM officers
on the call with us today. Gordon Graves is our CEO and Chairman
of the Board; Clifton Lind, President and Chief Operating Officer;
and Craig Nouis, our Chief Financial Officer, are here to talk
about this quarter's results and answer your questions. Before
we start, I'd like to read a short statement.
"The following comments, including any statements predicated
upon or preceded by the words, "potential," "believe," "expect," and "should" are
considered forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal
and state securities laws. Such statements are subject to a number
of uncertainties that could cause the actual results to differ
materially from those expected, including, but not limited to,
those described under Item 1. Description of Business - Risk Factors
contained in the company's annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal
year ended September 30th, 2001, which are incorporated herein
by this reference."
I'd like to turn the call over to Mr. Gordon Graves, who is our
CEO and Chairman of the Board. Gordon?
MR. GRAVES: Thank you, Julia. We had a great first
quarter. Earnings are up more than a factor of seven over last
year. And anybody with any arithmetic skill can see it looks as
if we have good opportunity to make $2 per share or more for the
year pre-split, if we can maintain any growth at all.
The first quarter has always been our weakest quarter of the
year. Now this year, our increase in subsequent quarters is not
going to be as significant as it was in the past. On the other
hand, perhaps we've been a little bit too pessimistic or conservative
about the second quarter in our press release and maybe we've been
misleading. We didn't make it clear in our press release today
that when we said that we would not see any increase in earnings
for the second quarter, that we were talking about the second quarter
of this year compared to the first quarter of this year; rather
than the second quarter of this year compared to the second quarter
of last year. If you make that comparison, we'll still see a 300
or 400% increase.
But on the first quarter compared to the second quarter, though,
maybe we are a little too conservative. Let me give you some numbers
on that. We had an average of about 2,500 of our new MegaMania-type
player stations in place in the first quarter. And right now, we
have up around 3,300. So we will have 3,400 or 3,500. Our halfway
point through the second quarter is a couple of weeks away, and
so we'll probably have 3,400 or 3,500 in place by then. 3,500 would
be a 40%increase. So we'll be increasing our number of machines
by 35-40%.
On the other hand, we've seen our hold per machine drop so far
this quarter by about 17% compared to the first quarter. And in
our projections, as far as the rest of this quarter, we've been
again very, very conservative and maybe a little pessimistic, and
we've assumed that's going to drop on down to about 25% by the
end of this quarter, compared to the average for the first quarter.
We've also got some more contingencies over and above that in our
projection, so maybe we're a little bit too conservative. But,
as you know, we always are very conservative.
I think it's unfortunate that we maybe had this mistake in there
or didn't make it clear in the press release. But on the other
hand, on the positive side, I want to point out that our $2 per
share guidance for the year uses the same very conservative projections
on the hold per machine and assumes it's going to continue to go
down even more for the rest of the year.
So overall, we're going to still see fabulous growth for this
year. We're very excited about that. Our great performance we've
enjoyed in the first quarter really strengthens our balance sheet
and it allows us to more easily solidify all of our other money-making
resources. I'd like to talk about that a little bit later on in
the conference. But at this time I'd like to turn it over to Clifton
and Craig and let them go into some more details on the first quarter.
Clifton?
MR. LIND: Yes, sir. Thank you very much. The first
thing I'd like to say is that it has been a great honor for Gordon
and me to work with the key members of the MGAM management team
and all of the members of the MGAM team. It's been inspiring to
see the amount of work that they put into making this company the
success that it is today. And I can't name one person who is on
the team today that was on the team a year ago who hasn't had a
rather significant learning experience and grown professionally.
I know that they will make an even greater contribution to our
success next year.
Some of our key team members have made some team hires and you'll
be hearing about those over the next few weeks. And it will make
MGAM an even stronger company than it was when we started this
year, and than we were a year ago. We are excited about the fact
that with this new technology that we've been developing and the
new team members that we've added, we're poised to enter a second
growth market. As far as this year, we're ahead of schedule in
our primary market, which is Class II Native American gaming. And
we're responding to the first request for proposal in the third
potential growth market for MGAM.
It is, as I said, an honor for Gordon and me to get to work with
this inspiring team and I know that we can expect a tremendous
contribution. And the shareholders have reason to be optimistic
about where we are today and the future. Like Gordon, I'd like
to come back after Craig has gone over the numbers. Let me say
that we are going to focus only on the pre-stock dividend numbers
in this conversation. We did the math in the press release and
we'll be speaking in the future using the post-split numbers. But
for the purpose of this conversation and for clarity, we're going
to try to focus only on the guidance we've given and the results
we achieved based on the pre-split numbers. So, Craig?
MR. NOUIS: Thank you, Clifton. As Gordon had mentioned
earlier, we had a great quarter. First, I'd like to speak in terms
of revenue, net income, and EBITDA. Our gross revenues for the
quarter ended up at about $58.9 million, which is about a 173%
increase over the same quarter of 2001. This also represents about
a 23% increase over the last quarter, the fourth quarter of 2001,
for which the gross revenues were about $47.8 million.
In terms of net income for the quarter, we came in at about $4.7
million, which is a significant increase over the same period of
last year, which was $364,000. And, again, as we mentioned before,
we're continuing to show quarter-to-quarter growth. And our net
income grew from the previous quarter, the fourth quarter of 2001,
from $3.4 million up to $4.7 million. So we're definitely demonstrating
this quarter-to-quarter growth. The EBITDA numbers for this quarter
was $10.9 million, which is, again, significantly above EBITDA
for the same quarter last year of $3,058,000.
In terms of the earnings per share, (again, this is before the
stock split) basic EPS for the quarter was $0.59, and the diluted
EPS was $0.49. Compare that to the same quarter last year, when
EPS was $0.06. As you can see, earnings per share went up significantly.
And the number of basic shares outstanding for this quarter was
8,025,000, while the number of fully diluted shares outstanding
for the quarter was about 9,650,000.
Now we are continuing to place player stations at a good rate.
As the end of the fiscal year ending September 30, 2001, we had
1,966 New-Generation games in service. During the quarter, we placed
967 New-Generation games, which resulted in 2,933 units at December
31, 2001. The number of Legacy games went from 2,979 as of September
30th, 2001, to 2,891, a decrease of about 88 units. As we've discussed
previously, we expect some reduction in our Legacy games as we're
placing more and more of these New-Generation games. We still feel
that in accordance with prior guidance, we're in a position to
place at least 2,400 new Class II machines in service during the
year. As Gordon was talking about earlier, we are showing this
rate of unit placement in our models, but we're also decreasing
our hold per day [in those models].
Regarding guidance for the second quarter and for the year 2002,
I know Gordon spoke of it a little bit already, but we are showing
our diluted earnings per share to be about $2. We hope we can exceed
that, but that's where we're at now. And for the second quarter,
we are showing that the earnings per share amount is going to be
the same as the first quarter; the reason being that we are on
target with placing these new units in the field.
We had some market tests running in a couple of locations which
resulted in one-time revenues for us that dropped to the bottom
line; we will not see [these one-time revenues] in the second quarter.
But we're still going to continue placing the units. And, it looks
now as if we're going to be in about the same place as we were
in the first quarter.
Okay. Having said that, I'll turn it back over to Clifton.
MR. LIND: Okay. Thanks, Craig. A number of important
follow-ups to Craig's discussion. As he said, we had previously
given guidance for Q1 of $0.40, and this morning, on a pre-split
basis, we announced Q1 earnings of $0.48. This figure was $0.08,
or 20%, above our guidance for the first quarter of this year.
We felt that it was important to note that approximately $0.06
of this represented earnings from two incredibly important proof-of-concept
tests that we ran. And what is more important than the one-time
earnings that these tests gave us in these markets was the fact
that it showed that our New-Generation machines could do exceedingly
well in Class III Markets. The opportunity to do this benchmarking
has been a very important learning experience for us, both for
changes that we want to make to the games and to the systems. And
more importantly, it's a good sales tool for us in talking to our
new customers who have been considering putting in additional machines,
possibly Class II machines, in environments where the number of
Class III machines are limited.
The fact is that we have also rolled out our additional New-Generation
games in the last month, and we have been very pleased with the
player acceptance of our new games. As you saw in our last press
release, there are a number of new games that we're coming out
with which are much more exciting, we think, to the players. They
involve more interactive steps and maybe because of that interactivity,
have advantages to us in many different ways, and capitalize on
our strength, which is the two-way communication between the player
stations.
As Gordon said, and Craig reiterated, as expected, the hold per
machine per day has been coming down. As we increase the number
of machines in our existing markets, we expect this to continue
until we move into new markets. We believe that in the next 120
days, we will move into at least three new markets which will again
help stabilize what in the last two months has been an expected
decline in hold per machine, since we have in some cases doubled
or tripled the number of machines that were in a particular facility.
We asked our manufacturing partners to accelerate delivery of
machines so we could provide them to customers earlier than scheduled
so that they could have additional play during the holiday season.
And we are appreciative of our manufacturing partners and our own
manufacturing team that got us significantly ahead of our schedule
in deliveries.
The fact is that the new markets that we are entering could be
very powerful for us. We are excited about the fact that we're
raising our guidance today for our FY2002 earnings to approximately
$2, and are pleased with the growth in value that should represent
for our shareholders. Gordon?
MR. GRAVES: Okay. Thanks very much, Clifton. I
think that we ought to open it up for questions at this time?
OPERATOR: Thank you. The question and answer session
will begin now. If you're using a speaker phone, please pick up
the handset before pressing any numbers. Should you have a question,
please press 1 - 4 on your push-button phone. If you would like
to withdraw your question, press 1, followed by 3. Your question
will be taken in the order it is received. Please stand by for
your first question.
Our first question comes from David Bain. Please state your affiliation,
followed by your question.
MR. BAIN: Yes. David Bain, from Roth Capital.
Congratulations on a great quarter once again, guys. A quick question
on the placement of units. If your target is 2,400 and you currently
have 967 in the field today, that would leave 477 per quarter.
Are you still doing 600 per quarter?
MR. LIND: Gordon, would you like me to take this
--
MR. GRAVES: Please do.
MR. LIND: All right. David, thank you for your
comments. It's easy to glean we're ahead of schedule. An important
change in what our goals were last year and this year's goals is
that last year we had a goal of a minimum of 200 units of the New-Generation
games installed per month. This year, we changed our goal to a
minimum net growth in all Class II games of over 200 units a month.
And we're far ahead of that. We have not changed our goal internally,
but we are ahead of schedule in deliveries and we have moved forward
some of the some of our tribes' delivery times that had originally
been scheduled for later in the year.
Our backlog still remains above the 500 machine level where we
like to keep it, and we expect that backlog to stay at that level
or grow throughout the year. And you don't have to do much math
to know that doesn't leave a very aggressive balance for us to
achieve the 2,400 net new placements that we put in the schedule.
And we believe in striving mightily to exceed that and feel comfortable
that we will exceed that. But want to reiterate, you know, that
our original guidance that was given for the year and our updated
guidance is a balance between the number of machines you put out
and the hold per machine that you are willing to drive any particular
hold down to.
Because, as you know, our internal goal is to make sure that
on Friday and Saturday night, none of our players who want to play
our machines have to wait more than ten minutes in line to do so.
We still have some halls where people are standing two and three
deep to play at the peak hours on Friday night and Saturday night.
So we're going to keep putting in additional machines to satisfy
those markets.
MR. BAIN: Great. Right.
MR. LIND: Regrettably, that means that on Mondays,
Tuesdays, Wednesdays, and Thursdays, we have a larger number of
machines in the halls than we need, so the average hold for the
week goes down and suffers. You know, we've spent a lot of time,
and Skip Lannert does an excellent job with trying to balance the
number of machines in the halls, and the mix of games that we have
playing, and the hold per day that we're achieving.
And, so, yes, the simple answer is we should continue to place
machines at the rate that was our target rate. But, conservatively,
if we do our job right, we can achieve our new guidance by only
meeting the 2,400 units for the end-of-year growth. But I want
to emphasize the point, David, that we could put out a significantly
larger number of machines in the existing halls, but we would just
succeed in driving down the hold per machine faster by creating
availability on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday that we
don't need.
MR. BAIN: Right.
MR. LIND: And so we try very hard to balance that.
The key to our getting the hold to stay up network-wide is they're
opening up these new markets. And as I told you, in the next 120
days or so, we expect to enter at least three new Class II markets
that would give us significant growth in holds.
MR. BAIN: And you probably don't want to expand
on that now.
MR. LIND: For competitive reasons, I would rather
not go into details.
MR. BAIN: Okay.
MR. GRAVES: Well, on that let me say just one
thing. Right now we've got customers in California, Oklahoma, Washington
State, Washington, D.C., Alabama, New York, Michigan, Wisconsin,
and Arizona. Most of our machines are in Oklahoma.
MR. BAIN: Right.
MR. GRAVES: And, you know, I think we are going
to see California break open in the next -- it's looking -- you
know, California is a matter of arithmetic and money. The tribes
are at the point where a lot of them got their 2,000 machines in
and they need more machines. And, so, I think that just the financial
pressure is going to cause that to move forward and we're going
to see that break open for us.
MR. BAIN: And would you say also, in possibly
New York due to budget shortfalls, or any other jurisdictions?
MR. GRAVES: It's a lot harder to tell in New York because
of the compact negotiations that they have going on.
MR. BAIN: Right. Okay.
MR. GRAVES: Yeah.
MR. BAIN: Can you guys give me an update on MegaBingo
and Proxy Play?
MR. GRAVES: Clifton?
MR. LIND: It's two different topics. We add one or two
tribes a week to the new MegaBingo game.
MR. BAIN: Uh-huh.
MR. LIND: As we speak, we have 15 tribes and two charities
playing the [MegaBingo] game, the players enjoy the game, and it's
growing. We expect to see that continue to grow through the year.
As you know, that is a game in which we try to give a significantly
new experience to our Native American players, and are going to
try to target an expansion of that into the charity markets.
Proxy Play is moving along, probably slower than you might have
expected, based on prior comments, but it is really in control
of the tribe that is our Proxy Play partner on that. And as you
know, we do not have anything in the forecast this year for income
from Proxy Play.
MR. BAIN: Right.
MR. LIND: We do expect to move from a test mode to some
form of for-cash play. And, ultimately, when the tribal council
is willing to approve accepting some off-reservation betting, and
there is court protection to do that, then we expect to be doing
that. The time schedule is a little bit indefinite right now because
our customers control that more than we do.
MR. BAIN: Right. On the international front, with Liberia
possibilities and the UK or Canada, get I get a little color?
MR. GRAVES: Clifton?
MR. LIND: Certainly, we have a formal contract to provide
40 units into the Liberian market. Fortunately we can provide those
units without risking a significant number of assets because we
can use some of our older equipment for them. Working with our
former Vice-Chairman, there are other opportunities in Mexico and
in other countries that we are working on on a daily basis, and
we think will be at least a good test market, if not a very strong
market.
One of our other strong gaming companies that we have an alliance
with -- we are working jointly on a significant opportunity that's
out of the country, but subject to a confidentiality agreement
right now, so I can't disclose that or tell you anymore about that
right now, okay?
MR. BAIN: All right.
MR. LIND: There's a great deal of activity on those fronts,
but as you know from our prior business, North America is our primary
market and within North America, the United States of America.
We do not have in the forecast any major contribution from foreign
relationships. That will all be upside for us over the next year
or two.
MR. BAIN: All right. Well, great job. Again, keep it up.
You're doing an excellent job.
MR. LIND: Thank you.
MR. BAIN: Thank you.
OPERATOR: Thank you. Our next question comes from Daniel
Davila. Please state your affiliation, followed by your question.
MR. DAVILA: Good afternoon. Hibernia Southcoast Capital.
Again, as well, my congratulations on a good quarter. I've got
some, I guess, what seems to be a hundred questions. First, for
the one-time revenue you passed through in the quarter, what does
that represent in EPS?
MR. GRAVES: Represent in what?
MR. DAVILA: What does that represent in earnings per share?
MR. GRAVES: Earnings per share?
MR. DAVILA: Yes.
MR. GRAVES: Clifton, do you want to answer that?
MR. LIND: Yes. It was - out of the first quarter -- six
cents of the 48 cents was the effect of that, Danny.
MR. DAVILA: Okay. And if I'm reading your press release
correctly, Clifton, they're telling us it's 49 cents, not 48 cents.
Anybody want to clarify that penny?
MR. LIND: I guess I was not able to succeed in my argument
to keep it down to 48 cents, Danny.
MR. DAVILA: Okay.
MR. LIND: Please forgive me.
MR. DAVILA: It's all right. I mean, you know, we --
MR. LIND: I was on the west coast when the press release
went out. I apologize that I didn't study it. Let me say that I
approved the press release, but I didn't focus in on that number.
I didn't noticed it changed. I'm sorry. Thank you, Danny.
MR. DAVILA: So the real number is 48 then?
MR. LIND: No. The real number is 49.
MR. DAVILA: Okay.
MR. LIND: I am in error. I know that is blowing my credibility
with all the listeners. Excuse me.
MR. DAVILA: Well, we'll give you the one pass, Clifton.
MR. LIND: All right. Thanks, Danny.
MR. DAVILA: With respect to what's going on in Florida,
that test that you had going on down there, what percentage are
you getting from that tribe?
MR. LIND: We currently -- we have completed the test down
there, and there is no on-going test, or we do not have any machines
turned on down there. But the test was done at our normal rate,
so our normal split.
MR. DAVILA: Is there an opportunity there going forward?
MR. LIND: We are working very hard to be a technology
and a system provider for them and a provider of content as well.
And, you know, there was a tragic accident involving one of their
two tribal members, and so they're --
MR. GRAVES: They're a little disorganized right now.
MR. LIND: It will take a while for us to get back on track
in the negotiations, but it would be a great honor for us and a
great opportunity for us to provide them some technology content
and system.
MR. DAVILA: Okay. Just two more questions for you, Clifton,
and then I'll leave the call up to other people. I was wondering
if you could break out your E-Pull games, the overall Class II?
MR. LIND: We have not put any E-Pull games in the system.
Our bingo games have been so well received that there has not been
a need to bring our E-Pull games off the shelf and put them out
in the field. They are another product line that will be incredibly
powerful for us in charity jurisdictions, and as we turn up the
heat on those in the next 12 to 18 months, we may actually see
that that's the bigger market for our E-Pull system.
Our new bingo games that we're coming out with are just, as I
told you earlier, being very well received. And so we will probably
focus on those until we get into jurisdictions where the gaming
commissioners request the additional variety of the electronic
pull-tab game.
MR. DAVILA: Thank you. And, lastly, I guess judging from
Gordon's opening remarks, there's a lot of question this morning
concerning sequential quarter-to-quarter growth. I still have a
lot of questions about that. So I was wondering if you could just
clarify one more thing for us now. If I'm to understand what you're
saying correctly, then your second quarter will look at least as
good as your first quarter. But is that off the 43 cents or the
49 cents?
MR. LIND: That's off the 49 cents.
MR. DAVILA: So your second quarter will look at least
as good as 49 cents?
MR. LIND: Yeah.
MR. DAVILA: Okay.
MR. LIND: We believe that to be the case.
MR. DAVILA: Yeah. I mean, all this is based on the --
MR. LIND: Yeah.
MR. DAVILA: Right.
MR. LIND: You know, the warning we gave at first.
MR. DAVILA: Okay. Thank you very much.
MR. LIND: Uh-huh.
OPERATOR: Thank you. Our next question comes from Ronald
Rotter. Please state your affiliation, followed by your question.
MR. ROTTER: Ron Rotter, West RLR Partners. Great quarter.
Most of my questions were asked and answered. The only comment
I would like to make is it would be nice when you release the quarterly
information if you would give us the full P[rofit] and L[oss] statement
and also a balance sheet. When is that going to be available?
MR. GRAVES: Craig?
MR. NOUIS: Our goal in terms of filing the Q is probably
going to be in a week, a week and a half. So, hopefully, by then.
MR. ROTTER: Thank you. I think in the future, though,
you should have that information available when you do have the
quarterly release so we can really truly analyze the whole story.
MR. GRAVES: Thank you, Ron. We will see that that happens.
OPERATOR: Thank you. Our next question comes from Todd
Metcalf. Please state your affiliation followed by your question.
MR. METCALF: Hi. Baker Street Capital. The first question
is about one-time revenue this quarter. How much was that?
MR. LIND: It equated to earnings per share of 6 cents
of the 49 cents.
MR. METCALF: And how much total revenue associated with
that?
MR. LIND: I don't have those numbers broken out at my
fingertips. If you will call us back after the conference call,
we'll get that for you.
MR. METCALF: Okay. And what about the machines? Do you
have that number? How many machines were involved?
MR. LIND: How many machines involved in the test?
MR. METCALF: Yeah.
MR. LIND: There were a total of 128 machines involved
in the test.
MR. METCALF: And were they all Class III or?
MR. LIND: They were all Class II.
MR. METCALF: Class II?
MR. LIND: That is correct.
MR. METCALF: Okay. Next question. Has the Indian Gaming
Commission issued an advisory opinion on the New- Generation of
Class II games?
MR. LIND: They have not.
MR. METCALF: Have you requested one?
MR. LIND: We requested --
MR. GRAVES: Over about a year ago.
MR. METCALF: Okay. The final question. Any new developments
in the Alabama situation? Can you think of anything there?
MR. LIND: Yes. We have machines in that market and we
will be increasing the number of machines in that market in the
near future.
MR. METCALF: Just one clarification. There has been some
rumors that there's some internal investigation or state investigation
going on. Can you comment on that?
MR. GRAVES: On us?
MR. METCALF: Yeah.
MR. GRAVES: Absolutely not true.
MR. METCALF: Okay. Thanks a lot. Bye.
OPERATOR: Thank you. Our next question comes from George
Paoletti. Please state your affiliation, followed by your question.
MR. PAOLETTI: Hi. Digerati. A couple questions. One, kind
of along the line of the issue of not having a whole balance sheet
and income statement. Can you give the PP&E at the end of the
quarter and the depreciation in the quarter?
MR. GRAVES: Craig?
MR. NOUIS: Let's see. The PP&E, as of the end of the
quarter, was about -- the net was about $26.9 million.
MR. PAOLETTI: Okay.
MR. NOUIS: The depreciation during the quarter was just
under $2.8 million.
MR. PAOLETTI: Okay. And on the P&L, kind of having
to guess at the operating expenses, but you seem to have made about
100% incremental EBITDA margin on your incremental revenues. You
know, your EBITDA sequentially was up about $2.4 million and your
incremental revenues were up sequentially about $2.4 million.
MR. NOUIS: I want to try to get better than that in this
next quarter.
MR. PAOLETTI: Yeah. I'd love it. But does that mean operating
expenses were flat sequentially? What caused that?
MR. NOUIS: Yeah. I think that is a safe statement, that
it was somewhat flat in terms of our operating expenses.
MR. GRAVES: That will not be the case in future quarters.
MR. PAOLETTI: Okay. Very good job.
MR. NOUIS: There was a slight increase, though.
MR. PAOLETTI: Yeah. Okay. But it couldn't be much?
MR. NOUIS: Right.
MR. PAOLETTI: And two other questions. One, you mentioned
second and third growth markets. Are you talking geographies or
are you talking something else?
MR. NOUIS: I'm talking about market sectors. This year
we will enter the charity market and we are also responding to
a request to bid the system portion and possibly the machine portion
of a video lottery system for our lottery.
MR. PAOLETTI: Okay. And then the last question. You know,
from the trials you've done, what other issues do you seem to think
you have with the unit itself and the system to kind of co-exist
in a Class III market, especially like California?
MR. NOUIS: Well, the only significant issue as the unit
now stands is that it is an account-wagering cashless system. And
to put it on the floor next to a coin-in, coin-out machine, we
have to have a large enough machine that we can train the people
to use the players club card and understand the benefits of using
the cashless system.
MR. PAOLETTI: Yeah.
MR. NOUIS: So that is in some of the major market places,
they're still on coin-in and coin-out. They have not moved to the
cashless system, so we have to sell through that opportunity. The
other major challenge is to get a position in the casinos, since
all of the space is currently occupied by Class III machines. That
is a reasonable position within the structure itself because typically
when people have new systems they'll try to expand and they put
them in the back room or next to the coffee shop or next to the
bingo hall. And so it's hard to get a apples-to-apples comparison
of what these machines will do. We had that opportunity in the
growth test to get in good locations in casinos and compete head-on
with other systems. And as I said, the most exciting thing that
we saw was that our New-Generation bingo games can do admirably
well in Class III environments.
MR. PAOLETTI: Which tribe in California believes that
most?
MR. NOUIS: I'm sorry. Which tribe believes that or which
tribe did we have the test at?
MR. PAOLETTI: Which tribe believes the most that you can
compete head-to-head with Class III?
MR. NOUIS: Well, I was not quoting the tribe. It is common
knowledge that our test was at the Seminole nation.
MR. PAOLETTI: Yes.
MR. NOUIS: And we were very pleased with the results of
our machines there.
MR. PAOLETTI: I wonder if anyone in California is --
MR. GRAVES: Well, let me say this. I don't think that
anybody in California expects our Class II machines to make them
as much money per machine as their Class III machines. If a tribe
has a choice of putting in a Class III machine or putting in a
Class II, they're going to put in a Class III. But our Class II
machines is going to make them a whole heck of a lot more money
if they've got demand over and above the 2,000 machines they're
limited to. And that's the driving factor that's driving them to
want to put in our Class II machines.
MR. PAOLETTI: Right. I mean, they're at their limits on
the Class III, so I guess the issue is, you know, you still have
to convince them, even if they take your machines, not to put them
out in the parking lot, right?
MR. GRAVES: They've got to be convinced they want to
be serious about making money. Yeah.
MR. PAOLETTI: Yeah.
MR. GRAVES: And it looks like that's starting to happen.
MR. PAOLETTI: All right.
MR. GRAVES: They're starting to get to the point where
they're saying, okay, now we've got to continue raising our revenue
and the Class II option is their best right now, I think.
MR. PAOLETTI: Okay. Good luck with it.
MR. GRAVES: Thank you.
OPERATOR: Thank you. Our next question comes from Bill
Brady. Please state your affiliation, followed by your question.
MR. BRADY: Presidio Management. I have a bunch of questions,
you guys. I'm assuming this 4 cents mentioned in the press release
at one time was on the basis of the split.
MR. GRAVES: That is correct.
MR. BRADY: 6 cents prior to the split. Is that right?
MR. GRAVES: That's correct.
MR. BRADY: So the first quarter was 43 cents?
MR. GRAVES: No.
MR. BRADY: Well, 49 minus six.
MR. LIND: If you exclude the 6 cents, that is correct.
MR. BRADY: Yeah. But the second quarter will be at least
49 cents.
MR. LIND: That is correct.
MR. BRADY: Not 43 cents, 49 cents.
MR. LIND: Right. Right. Our guidance going forward for
this quarter will be based off that 49 cents, second quarter.
MR. BRADY: No. That's 92 cents, so you don't have to have
much sequential improvement to get above $2. If you got 6 cents
every quarter, that would more than do it.
MR. GRAVES: Well, Bill, I would whole lot rather exceed
your expectations than disappoint you.
MR. BRADY: Yeah. Okay. The test in Florida, you said the
cashless machine with player tracking numbers, could compete with
Class III in comparable locations. Why didn't the Seminole nation
go ahead and keep the machines?
MR. GRAVES: They didn't want to pay us the price that
we charged for the machines.
MR. BRADY: Well, they objected to your fee?
MR. GRAVES: That is correct.
MR. BRADY: Yeah. Okay. So when you say there's an opportunity
there, --
MR. GRAVES: I think, again, it's a matter of economics.
I think when they sit back and look at what happens with our machines
in and with our machines not in, I think once the confusion there
clears, that we'll be back to the negotiating table. But you never
know for sure and, you know, the customer is always right. And
if he wants to take the machines out, well, the customer is always
right. But, you know, we accept when he starts -- he's not right
when he says we ought to sell them machines at a lower fee than
what our set fee is. And so that's the situation.
MR. BRADY: Yeah. Well, do they have bingo halls that are
potential customers, too? Or do they just have Class III casinos
where they put the machines?
MR. GRAVES: They don't have Class III. They have what
they think is Class II machines. It's a little different situation.
I mean, their machines are maybe more like Class III than other
places, but they believe they're Class II. And it's not for us
to say whether they're Class II or Class III.
MR. BRADY: Do they have any bingo halls where your normal
Class II machine could --
MR. GRAVES: They have bingo operations, but they're at
the same location where they've got these other machines that they
have installed that they believe are Class II.
MR. BRADY: Okay. Then how much did you spend on R&D
during their quarter? And I reiterate my comments with Ron Rotter
who asked the same question at the last conference call, but it
would help to get an P&L.
MR. GRAVES: Well, let me comment on that just a minute.
We think it's important to get the numbers out as early as possible
on the earnings per share; we think that's real important to do
that. And it's obviously a trade-off. We believe that most of the
investors would rather see those [EPS] numbers out early before
we're ready to release all of the numbers. And if we're wrong about
that, we'd like to hear from other investors on that subject. But
that's what we think at this time.
MR. BRADY: I'd rather see them as early as possible, but
if that's the trade-off, I would rather see them early.
MR. GRAVES: And that is the trade-off.
MR. BRADY: Okay. Then to go on, what was spent on R&D
in the quarter?
MR. GRAVES: Clifton?
MR. LIND: Bill, I'd like to just disclose that with our
total numbers next week.
MR. BRADY: Okay.
MR. LIND: It was on target with what we had budgeted to
spend on R&D for the first quarter of the year. And as you
know, that was a ramping-up number.
MR. BRADY: Okay. And for this [potential] lottery contract,
who is your competition?
MR. LIND: We have significant competition from a number
of people who have successfully won lottery contracts in the past.
And those are names that you would recognize; scientific games,
GTECH, ETI, --
MR. BRADY: IGT.
MR. LIND: IGT.
MR. BRADY: Those are the big ones.
MR. LIND: And in addition to that, there's a company that
we compete with in Washington State, CR Design, that has a system
that will work there. The number of the bidders -- it's not clear.
The Oneidas have a system that they will probably bid. And there
is another slot manufacturer with a system that they will probably
bid. So there's a good bit of competition and it is a long shot
for anyone to win the first lottery contract they propose, but
we're making a hell of a run at it.
MR. BRADY: Yeah. Okay. Then you mentioned in Monrovia,
you had a contract for 40 machines. The original announcement said
200. Has that changed?
MR. LIND: No. That's just the first segment -- the first
half that we're going to get started.
MR. BRADY: Yeah. Okay. Well, it looks like you've clarified
the press release to the extent the stock is up now anyway, so
good. Good job.
MR. GRAVES: Thanks very much. What is the stock at?
MR. BRADY: Up 79 cents after being down a little over
two [dollars].
MR. GRAVES: Okay.
OPERATOR: Thank you. Our next question comes from Martin
Dehen. Please state your affiliation, followed by your question.
MR. DEHEN: Hi, Gordon. Martin Dehen with Capital Swiss
Securities.
MR. GRAVES: Hi, Marty.
MR. DEHEN: It's been an honor and a privilege to work
with you guys since 1991. I can't tell you how excited everyone
up here in Minnesota is. All the past growth has been related to
tribal bingo. I've got a lot of questions on whether or not you
perceive some of the same Class II machines being able to be used
in any kind of charitable halls or possibly even nightclub market
type products that are more related to, I suppose, future versions.
Can you comment on any of that?
MR. GRAVES: Well, yeah, I think I can a little bit. We've
hired a number of new Class II gaming salesmen for Indian country
this past quarter. And Tommy LeGassick, our Vice-President, who's
been so successful in introducing the MegaManza brand in Native
American marketplaces this past year -- he's training the salespeople
to pretty much take over the Class II market activities so that
Tommy is ready to go out there and focus on the charity sweepstakes
and charity bingo marketplace.
And he kind of needs a new challenge. He's exceeded his sales
quota by about 100% his month. And it looks like since September
11th, the charities need to find ways of raising more funds so
that they can fund the delivery of welfare services as the administration
would like to see them do. I think that we're going to see some
acceleration there. And I think that we will see first our Legacy
Class II bingo games in that marketplace, as well as maybe a sweepstakes
version in some states. And then I think we will eventually see
our MegaManza series of games going in. But for the short term,
I think it will be more of the Legacy type of games.
MR. DEHEN: Gordon, is the charitable market bigger or
smaller than the tribal market?
MR. GRAVES: It's many, many times larger. There's about
400 or 500 gaming facilities in Indian Country, and there's 35,000
charity bingo halls. So the charity bingo market is much, much
larger.
MR. DEHEN: Is there a product that could be done that's
not in a charity or a tribal hall? Just like in the seventies,
they had these Pong tables that people used to drink and play at.
Is there a nightclub type of product on the shelf anywhere?
MR. GRAVES: For us, no. I think there might be a potential
market for us there, but I think that's down the road a pretty
good ways before we look at that market.
MR. DEHEN: Okay. Well, again, thanks for everything.
MR. GRAVES: You bet.
OPERATOR: Thank you. Our next question comes from Steve
Emerson. Please state your affiliation, followed by your question.
MR. EMERSON: Steve Emerson, Emerson Investment Group.
Again, congratulations. Can you give us a flavor for -- if you
were not increasing the number of units dramatically, what would
be the normal seasonality of one of your tribal halls? Would it
be 30% in the fourth quarter, 20% in the first quarter? And could
you give us a flavor of what were your average handles per day?
Thank you very much.
MR. GRAVES: Well, let me say that normally the first
calendar quarter -- use that as the base. Normally, the first calendar
quarter and the second calendar quarter are similar. Third calendar
quarter is typically down a little bit, and the fourth calendar
quarter is normally down significantly. This year was a little
different because this year I think a lot more people were doing
their gambling at home rather than traveling to do their gambling.
So it was higher this year than normal. Clifton, do you feel like
you can say anything any more precise than that?
MR. LIND: Sure. Steve, it's a little bit difficult to
give you precise numbers because as you will recall, we only introduced
our New-Generation game in January of last year. So they've just
been running a year. And we have much better data, very good data,
on our existing Legacy games that were out there when a different
demographic group was playing them. And, you know, the studies
that we had run reveal that the average customer on our Legacy
games was 63 years old. And because of that, during September,
October, November, and December, they refocused a good bit of their
disposable income on back-to-school clothing and holidays.
The remarkable thing that happened with MegaManza is that in
one year we have lowered the average demographics for our players
down to 53 years. And so we've brought a bunch of 20-something
or 30-something players into the hall that the halls were not able
to attract before. So I think we're going to see the [seasonal]
fluctuations go away.
But if you will take the first and second calendar quarters as
a base, we usually saw, if you will, 25% [of our annual revenue]
with the first calendar quarter and 25% with the second quarter.
That would jump up to about 29% of our revenue in the third calendar
quarter. And with the fourth calendar quarter of the year being
down to about 21% of our annual revenue. So it was that sort of
a quarterly swing with the summer months being, you know, four
percentage points higher than you would expect, and the fall quarter
being down 4%, rather than just a straight pro rata average.
MR. EMERSON: So if this March quarter is as per history,
we should expect a possibly very strong increase per unit play
compared to the Christmas quarter, and your estimates could be
highly conservative as you usually are.
MR. GRAVES: That could be. But I think again, as I said,
I think it's important to note that I think that we saw a lot higher
play in the local markets overall this year than they normally
do. If you look what happened in Illinois, for example, or Indiana,
or any local market, the local markets did better this year than
they normally do, where, you know, Vegas did a lot worse.
MR. LIND: And, Steve, I agree with Gordon with what he
said on that. But in addition to that, we added so many machines
in December and January that, remember, we're optimizing on purpose
and in some of the halls we're driving the hold per machine down.
MR. EMERSON: Can you give us what the hold was in the
June quarter, this quarter, and then about what it's been running
quarter-to-date, and then I'll relinquish the line?
MR. LIND: Steve, from a competitive standpoint, I would
rather not, as the Chief Operating Officer.
MR. EMERSON: Okay.
MR. LIND: But if Gordon wants to override me.
MR. EMERSON: No. Well, I respect totally your desire for
competitive reasons to keep your numbers private at this point.
OPERATOR: Thank you. Our next question comes from Steve
Neren. Please state your affiliation followed by your question.
MR. NEREN: Fahnestock and Company. Hi, Gordon; hi, Clifton.
MR. GRAVES: Hi.
MR. NEREN: Just a couple of questions. First, I want to
get a clarification. We've all agreed to this point, including
you, that your forecast for the second quarter is conservative.
Just to throw out some numbers here, to point out how conservatively
it appears to me, if you get an average of 2,500 games in the first
fiscal quarter and it appears that you'll do an average of at least
3,500 in this quarter, --
MR. GRAVES: 3,400 or 3,500, yes.
MR. NEREN: Well, okay. Then you're talking about roughly
1,000 more games. Now, based upon the numbers that I've been using
with my clients, 1,000 games on an annual basis is worth a dollar
a share or almost a buck a share. And if you divide that by four,
simple arithmetic tells you 25 cents. If I take off from the 25
cents, six cents, that's 19. Nineteen on top of 49 is 68 cents.
So I really think you're kind of -- I understand you want to exceed
your numbers, but to such an extent that you're low-balling --
I think it's a little -- I don't know what I did wrong in my calculation.
If I did, please let me know.
MR. GRAVES: Clifton, do you want to answer that?
MR. LIND: Well, Steve, I stick with the guidance and I
think it's conservative. And the fact is that we are investing
heavily in R&D and market development, and even though it's
not reflected in the first fiscal quarter, you'll see this quarter
some significant expenditures that are related to the R&D effort.
And the market expansion, both geographically within our current
market segment and into the charity and lottery markets --
MR. NEREN: When I get my numbers on the first quarter
and, believe me, I was within a penny of your numbers, I used the
significant increase in your R&D numbers. So I already have
that in there. It happened and I think the reason my numbers --
that your numbers didn't exceed what I expect, was that your deliveries
in the quarter appeared to be scooting more towards the end of
the quarter than the beginning of the quarter, so that even makes
the average. And especially since I know you had an excellent January,
it even makes more certain that your numbers in the second quarter
significantly exceed the numbers in the first.
MR. GRAVES: Yes, Steve, but I think in looking back at
the first quarter, it would appear to me just from this discussion,
and I'd rather sit down with you than belabor it here, but that
you haven't made the appropriate adjustment in the hold per machine
that should've been made for the impact of this six cents a share
that we've been talking about.
MR. NEREN: By the way, I did use a number which goes back
to a number you had six months ago, rather than increase the number
when you guys were getting over 200. Could I, rather than just
belabor this since I think you're just being ultraconservative
here, could you -- the number that you had on the 6 cents for the
Seminoles, what did that work out to be per day on your machines?
And what do you think that their house machines were running?
MR. LIND: We have a confidentiality agreement and we just
can't comment on that, Steve.
MR. NEREN: Can you give us a multiple of what you think
you did? Were you 50% ahead of their machines? 100%? 200%?
MR. LIND: Steve, sorry, I'm not going to comment on that.
The potential of doing business with that tribe is so important,
and we're going to respect the confidentiality agreement that we
signed.
MR. NEREN: Do you think any of the tribes are on the phone?
MR. LIND: Well, that might make it better.
MR. NEREN: That doesn't make any difference. Just kidding.
Did you discuss the future? I mean, we know that you're working
on some new markets. Is there anything that you can discuss about
any of these potentials more than we've already heard, and specifically,
California and possibly even Oakland?
MR. GRAVES: No. I don't think we can say much. I think
all of what I've said is about all we can really say. There's tribes
out there at their limit on their 2,000 units. And they've got
a lot of economic pressure to increase revenue, and I think the
best way to do that is to put in more Class II machines. And there's
a number of tribes out there in California that don't have compacts,
and they have an opportunity to get started earlier without a compact
by putting in Class II. But I think, again, it's not probably appropriate
for us to go into much more detail on that.
MR. NEREN: Gordon, throughout Arizona and the list of
places where you have some contracts now, and I guess I haven't
heard that one before.
MR. GRAVES: What's that now?
MR. NEREN: Arizona. Are you actually doing anything in
Arizona now?
MR. GRAVES: Yeah. We've got a lot of our MegaMania machines
out there. We don't have any MegaManzas out there.
MR. NEREN: And do you have any idea when you could have
MegaManza?
MR. GRAVES: Well, I think it's liable to happen this
year. Clifton, do you want to comment on that?
MR. LIND: I think 120 days is a good middle-of-the-road
estimate of when we'll have the New-Generation machines out.
MR. NEREN: Thank you.
OPERATOR: Thank you. Our final question comes from Scott
Gambill. Please state your affiliation, followed by your question.
MR. GAMBILL: Hi. Scott Gambill with the Emergent Financial
Group. Good afternoon, everyone. Congratulations on a good quarter.
My question is, you already sort of covered the seasonal pattern
of revenues. I recall, I believe it was the fourth quarter of 2000
fiscal year that you reported a stronger-than-expected earnings
and it was because of a shifting of revenues forward in time when
the demand was stronger. So you kind of robbed a little revenue
in earnings from the December quarter and booked them in September.
My question would be: Is there any of that kind of timing of orders
here that's responsible for the better-than-expected quarterly
report in the flattening out? And a follow-on to that would be:
With some of these large new markets that you anticipate entering
in the near term, would it be good to guide the Street to an understanding
that --
MR. GRAVES: -- solids. And on these other things, if
you talk about it too much, you're going to get people anticipating
and expectations up to the point where you're not in control of
that and you could disappoint people. And I think we've just got
to be very, very careful and not talk too much about some of these
future opportunities. If they happen, it would be a great upside.
You know, we've got a company here that's doubling its earnings
every year. Its earnings per share, we're doubling every year.
And if let ourselves -- we don't have the discipline to not talk
about how it could be even larger if some of these things happen,
we're doing ourselves a disservice, I think.
MR. GAMBILL: I actually appreciate that, by the way.
MR. GRAVES: Yeah.
MR. GAMBILL: I remember some of those waits for those
new markets. So in other words, it's possible to -- it doesn't
affect the longer-term picture here. That's kind of what I wanted
to hear actually. Was there any additional business that you booked
ahead of original guesstimates?
MR. GRAVES: Oh yeah. As Clifton said before, we're considerably
ahead in installations and over and above what we had been projecting
where we were going to be.
MR. GAMBILL: Okay. Which is all good. Okay. Thank you.
MR. LIND: I'd just like to add on your question the shift
in business that you were referring to in the prior period had
primarily to do with the sale of equipment. You know, our primary
source of revenue now is recurring revenue. So, you know, we try
to get out there every day we can and get a machine out one day
earlier because every day that we don't have it there, it's money
that we missed and is gone forever. So we continually try to accelerate
deliveries where we can just because of the nature of the recurring
revenue in the business. And it is not the same impact that you
might have seen before when we were talking about specifically
some sales of some units in the Washington State market that got
moved forward a quarter.
MR. GAMBILL: That was the Q-4 of 2000 you're referring
to?
MR. LIND: Yes.
MR. GAMBILL: Oh, okay. I remember that fairly clearly,
but wanted to go back to that period to just kind of see if we
can replay that here in this last quarter. That's it. I'm real
happy with the quarter. Congratulations.
MR. GRAVES: Thanks very much.
OPERATOR: Thank you. As of this time, I'm showing no further
questions. I will now turn the conference back to Julia Spencer
to conclude.
MS. SPENCER: Thanks everybody for joining us, and we'll
see you next quarter.
OPERATOR: Ladies and gentlemen, a rebroadcast of this
call will be available today starting at 3 p.m. EST until February
7th at 11:59 p.m. EST. The phone number is 1-800-428-6051 for domestic
callers. And for international callers, use 1-973-709-2089. Use
the password I.D. number of 229129. That concludes our conference
for today. Thank you all for participating and have a nice day.
All parties may now disconnect.
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